California’s Power Crisis: caution before expanding Shocks

CA headlines shouted “black-out” in the week beginning January 15, when the state can begin rolling the introduction of its electricity cutoffs during crisis. State of the Silicon Valley Central Valley further north, months of Impeachment Guard on a flow of steam rolling insufficient finally taken the house as a clerical operated without lighting Windows. Régie transport police at intersections without traffic lights. Californians stock flashlights, generators, and firewood.

D’State and federal officials have also taken measures in an attempt to keep power flowing. California legislature approves $ 400 million a rescue plan, so that the power of the state to buy on the open market for the distribution companies at a lower cost. And on January 19, U.S. Energy Secretary Bill Richardson said it was exposure to require that companies continue shipping natural gas to California, to ensure sufficient supplies.

It is too easy for outside and point to grimacer, the power of the urgency of chaos Golden State was in the files. But such persons should not be smug. California’s bungled energy strategy to reverse its borders Out-of-State-energy businesses, stores California’s utilities. Even in countries at risk of electricity deregulation that occurred in California during the years 1998 and wider financial markets.

RATTLED MARKETS. If the collapse of Wall Street, if applications for bankruptcy of Pacific Gas & Electric Corp. (PCG) and Southern California Edison, the state of cash and two large investor-band companies? Few, say market observers. But if the fate of PG & E and SoCal Edison, the largest subsidiary of Edison International (EIX), responsible for more southerly they are more likely than not that Wall Street hematoma along the way.

The power of chaos has already rattled financial markets. Past the month of January, stocks slid amid speculation that some major American banks, including Bank of America (BAC), in great distress losses on loans to supply companies in California. BofA denied the rumors, and gets its share. But a crisis of investors likely to renew the exhibition on the concerns she and other major banks face in California.

John Nichol, manages over $ 1 billion in assets for Federated Utility reference, says investors’ concerns this way: “You do not wait that your program, to go bankrupt.” But the bankruptcy proceedings, indeed, a very real possibility that once Rock Steady-PG & E and SoCal Edison. The two companies do not have paid millions of dollars compared to a bond and electricity generators. Bankers nervous, and they rejected the company supply “of applications for credit lines. Credit rating agencies including Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s, companies helm” credit rating and debt Junk Bond status.

Brilliant? Force power producers, the problem. The two distribution companies with about $ 12 billion in total to them - a record of supplying the economy say it can not pay because the wholesale and rising prices for the deregulated electricity rules of a system, which have frozen their ability to increase retail.

A trip to liquidation is not likely to solve the energy crisis in California and the status of two major companies adamantly argued that bankruptcy is not the answer. “The state is on bail, they have anyway,” says Allen Klee, manages approximately USD 500 million for the Park Avenue Small Cap Fund. But for some investors, a plan would have its bright side. It would allow financial markets and focuses on rules of bankruptcy, instead of drifting in uncertainty, markets are not taken, “says Paul Klee. And electricity producers, allowances owed by companies - companies like CALPINE (CPN) and Dynegy (DYN) - would be among the first to pay, clover. “I purchase these actions,” he adds.

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